Thursday, January 27, 2005

The democracy that hates you...

"The democracy that hates you is less dangerous than the dictator that loves you."

From The Case for Democracy Natan Sharansky (p95).

My Sharansky - Bush's favorite book doesn't always endorse his policies. By Chris Suellentrop:

Tuesday, January 25, 2005

Reason: Stigmatizing Fathers: Dads lose both ways in adoption cases

Reason: Stigmatizing Fathers: Dads lose both ways in adoption cases: "In the end, our society sends men quite a mixed message. If your partner gets pregnant and decides to keep the baby, you're liable for 18 years of child support, whether or not you want to be a father. If she doesn't want to be a mother, she can give your child to strangers and there isn't much you can do. Then we complain that men don't take parenthood seriously enough."

Chinks in the alliance

The New York Times > Washington > Backers of Gay Marriage Ban Use Social Security as Cudgel:

"WASHINGTON, Jan. 24 - A coalition of major conservative Christian groups is threatening to withhold support for President Bush's plans to remake Social Security unless Mr. Bush vigorously champions a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage."

Monday, January 24, 2005

The New York Times > Science > Gray Matter and Sexes: A Gray Area Scientifically

The New York Times > Science > Gray Matter and Sexes: A Gray Area Scientifically:

For Dr. Summers and others, the overwhelmingly male tails of the bell curve may be telling. Such results, taken together with assorted other neuro-curiosities like the comparatively greater number of boys with learning disorders, autism and attention deficit disorder, suggest to them that the male brain is a delicate object, inherently prone to extremes, both of incompetence and of genius.


Who is this guy! I love him. I've been pointing that out too - being born a male, that's no guarantee of success. We may see more males at the very top of success than females but we need to take into account all those males who fail utterly, those in jail, those with mental illnesses, those who die in war or crime. That is, there is selection bias in saying men have advantages over women. Only those who survived have it better than women.

One comparison is to polygamy (legally having more than one wife). Is it good for males or bad? The initial response is: sure, it's good for males because they can have a harem (salacious laughter). But look at it more closely. It's not the case that a polygamous society would instantaneously have more girls be born. No, there would still be a 1:1, male:female ratio (more accurately, it's 105:100 ratio in the US, at birth; and it declines every second after that). If some man has three wives that means there are two men out there unable to find a wife. On average it would be the same as a strictly monogamous society. But that's on average. It may still be better to be born a female in such a society. Why? Because it's safer. There's more insurance for a woman. She can always find a mate, even if she has to share him with other women. That's not the case with men. They have a higher chance of having multiple mates but also a higher chance of having no mates at all. In this society, males and females may average the same number of mates, but males have a larger Bell curve (compare high risk investment options).


(It should be pointed out that a society such as the US, where there are no legal penalties for having a mistress, is partially polygamous. A status-rich man can have as many women as he can provide status for.)

The New York Times > Science > Gray Matter and Sexes: A Gray Area Scientifically

The New York Times > Science > Gray Matter and Sexes: A Gray Area Scientifically: "Yet Dr. Summers, who said he intended his remarks to be provocative, and other scientists have observed that while average math skillfulness may be remarkably analogous between the sexes, men tend to display comparatively greater range in aptitude. Males are much likelier than females to be found on the tail ends of the bell curve, among the superhigh scorers and the very bottom performers.

Among college-bound seniors who took the math SAT's in 2001, for example, nearly twice as many boys as girls scored over 700, and the ratio skews ever more male the closer one gets to the top tally of 800. Boys are also likelier than girls to get nearly all the answers wrong."

That's what I've been saying for years. One can't just compare the tops, because the variability could be larger for men.

Sunday, January 23, 2005

Dubium fiat!

Dubium fiat! What creationists want to do is to use intelligent design (ID) to drive a wedge of uncertainty into the theory of evolution. Or rather, there's already a crack of uncertainty in all scientific theories; and ID proponents want to widen that crack to a full-blown fissure.

However, if the goal is to make the creationism alternative more credible, they are using the wrong tool to do so. Doubt, once engaged, will easily be turned against ID as well. This is a point that both pro- and anti-ID people don't get: doubt is good for science but bad for religion. So science teachers should welcome doubt into their classrooms. See what happens when doubt and scientific thinking are applied to ID itself.

If ID is taught in school science class, it could follow along these lines:

  1. biological complexity exists and:
    • on average, biological complexity has increased over time (possibly from zero)
    • there is biological complexity in all organisms, thought the change may have been different for different species/environments.
    • changes in biological complexity have applied throughout time, possibly at different rates
  2. to explain (A), either

1. there's no biological complexity-creating agent - ie, theory of evolution

2. there are biological complexity-creating agent(s) - ie, ID
This view branches:

      1. There is one agent for all biological complexity. We can call this agent the god of evolution. We don't know if this god can do other things besides create biological complexity. We don't know whether there are other gods for other 'intelligent' or complex effects (that is, a god of geology). If there is only one such agent and that agent can only create biological complexity, we can make this statement of equivalency God = Evolution (call this evotheism).
      2. There are numerous agents.
        1. One agent per function. That is, one agent for the creation of eyes, another for the creation of legs, another, of wings, etc.,.
        2. One agent per species. That is, one agent for muskrats, another agent presiding over clover. A species agent is born when the species arrives (a somewhat fuzzy concept), gives birth to new agents when the species branches, and dies when the species becomes extinct. There could also be competition among the species agents for resources and an evolution of species agents (a notion that Stephen Jay Gould called species selection).
        3. Some other partition of biological complexity-creating duties. By time: an agent for the Cambrian period, one for the Triassic period, etc. By location: an agent for land animals, one for marine plants, etc.


As you see, ID leads to a number of interesting branches. Most ID proponents don't want the branching to be taught in school. Why? Because their goal is to put doubt into evolution and to follow up that doubt by creationistic, ie, biblical, teaching (a subset of (2a)) in churches. But once they open ID for discussion, why should we stop with a statement of doubt? We should follow ID to its implications: a multitude of agent-oriented theologies.

ID is valuable for science. It brings doubt back into the picture. And doubt is a wonderful creator of new thoughts. Maybe there is an agent of uncertainty which spawns new thinking; we could call it the god of doubt. Or maybe there's one God that said, Dubium fiat (Let there be doubt) and it was good.


Literalness

Philip Glass on NPR: "We stop playing (being children) when we take the world too literally."

Saturday, January 22, 2005

fresh shrift

How cold is it? (from NPR)

... brain freeze without ice cream.
... brass monkeys leaving.
... boogers can freeze.
... smoke stands still.
... colder than yenti's balls.
... freeze the ticks off a moose.
... colder than a witch's tit.

Philosophy Now

Philosophy Now: "One of his main arguments in Kant’s Religion within the Boundaries of Mere Reason is that people can understand the moral law without the aid of organised religion. It is simply redundant as a moral aid. He goes even further: There is an inherent tension between morality and religion because there is a danger that people may act morally not because it is the right thing to do but because their religion prescribes it. This would take away the value of a good act: Kant is convinced that we can do the right thing for the wrong reasons, which would be devoid of moral merit. Achieving desirable outcomes is not enough; moral merit lies in the right intentions that are freely willed. Freedom is the necessary ground for the existence of the moral law."

Economist.com | The economics of happiness

Economist.com | The economics of happiness: "Among many things, the behaviourists have found that it is relative, not absolute wealth, that matters most to people. Mr Layard cites as evidence a study in which Harvard University students claimed to prefer earning $50,000 a year when their peers are on only $25,000 to a world in which they earn $100,000 while their peers get more than double that amount."

This seems obvious too. You are comparing yourself to people as close to you as possible, in order to gage whether your choices and innateness is what has given you success. A Harvard student does recognize that their fair competitor is another Harvard student, not an orphan from genocide in Rwanda. Their school counterparts are versions of themselves, that is, parallel lives, and the Harvard student is in a competition with the choices they could have made.

Likewise, neighbors who compare the greenness of each other's lawns are in competition with what else they could have done (after all they can't blame the weather - it was the same for their neighbor). The comparison of lawns is fair. Which is why so many hire designated hitters, the gardening services.

Economist.com | The economics of happiness

Economist.com | The economics of happiness: "Lord Layard devotes a good portion of the book to a summary of what is known about how to be happy. Much of it will appear self-evident: cultivate friendships, be involved in a community, try for a good marriage. But his big idea is controversial. It is that a zero-sum game of competition for money and status has gripped rich societies, and that this rat race is a big source of unhappiness."

Why would this be controversial? It seems perfectly obvious, and probably supported by psychoneurology too. After fufilling basic needs, we move up in Maslow's pyramid to achievement. That's where we bump into all those other people trying to achieve too. In fact I believe that's people join bowling and billiard leagues - to give themselves an area for success (outside of work). We can't all be boss, but some of us have a great softball pitch.

City Journal Autumn 2004 | The Frivolity of Evil by Theodore Dalrymple

City Journal Autumn 2004 | The Frivolity of Evil by Theodore Dalrymple: "Everyone has a right to health; depression is unhealthy; therefore everyone has a right to be happy (the opposite of being depressed). This idea in turn implies that one's state of mind, or one's mood, is or should be independent of the way that one lives one's life, a belief that must deprive human existence of all meaning, radically disconnecting reward from conduct."

Thursday, January 20, 2005

Economist.com | Human evolution

Economist.com | Human evolution

This is a typical example of the sort of game that economists investigating game theory revel in, and both theory and practice suggests that a player can take one of three approaches in such a game: co-operate with his opponents to maximise group benefits (but at the risk of being suckered), free-ride (ie, try to sucker co-operators) or reciprocate (ie, co-operate with those who show signs of being co-operative, but not with free-riders).


And the three strategies did, indeed, have the same average pay-offs to the individuals who played them—though only 13% were co-operators, 20% free-riders and 63% reciprocators.

Tuesday, January 04, 2005

levirate. The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language: Fourth Edition. 2000.

levirate. The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language: Fourth Edition. 2000.: "The practice of marrying the widow of one's childless brother to maintain his line, as required by ancient Hebrew law."

Monday, January 03, 2005

opsonin. The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language: Fourth Edition. 2000.

opsonin. The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language: Fourth Edition. 2000.: "Latin opsnre, to buy provisions (from Greek opsnein, from opson, condiment, delicacy; see epi- in Appendix I) + –in."